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Edward Hugh's Posts
Argentina's 'Miracle' Recovery
argentina | by Edward Hugh | 20 Apr, 2004 at 04:49 AM | comments (0) | trackback (0)
Initial data due this week are expected to confirm that Argentina's economy is recovering at an ultra rapid pace from the financial and political crisis that shook the country just over two years ago. Reports from the Industry Ministry confirm that industrial production in March grew at an annual rate...
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Remittances On The Rise
economics | by Edward Hugh | 29 Mar, 2004 at 10:57 AM | comments (0) | trackback (0)
According to the Inter-American Development Bank Mexican, Brazilian and other Latin American emigrant workers sent home a record $38 billion last year, exceeding the combined foreign investment and direct assistance in the region....
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economics | by Edward Hugh | 23 Mar, 2004 at 05:54 AM | comments (0) | trackback (0)
Brazil's Foreign Minister Celso Amorim is currently in China lobying for finance to aid in the construction of railroads, roads, agriculture and mining in order to speed the flow of soybeans, meat and minerals to China. Regular Southern Exposure readers will be well aware of the China soya impact :...
economics | by Edward Hugh | 10 Mar, 2004 at 11:30 AM | comments (0) | trackback (0)
Mexico is suffering from an unexpected problem: inflation has accelerated due to a temporary ban on U.S. beef. This is affecting the price of all sorts of everyday items items: even the price of the tacos served from the street carts in Mexico City. Consumer prices rose 0.6 percent in...
economics | by Edward Hugh | 05 Mar, 2004 at 12:22 PM | comments (0) | trackback (0)
This is striking, isn't it. A Latin American country with zero inflation and a 1.75% funds rate which is under review for reduction. Of course a big part of this picture is currency-appreciation-driven, and the currency appreciation in turn is driven by China's demand for copper. So Chile's miraculous disinflation...
economics | by Edward Hugh | 06 Feb, 2004 at 12:51 PM | comments (20) | trackback (0)
With today's deadline looming larger than ever, the future of the FTAA (Free Trade Area of the Americas) negotiations between Brazil and the US still seems far from clear. Still separated by a wade of issues, with market access and agriculture at the top of the list, agreement seems as...
argentina | by Edward Hugh | 06 Feb, 2004 at 12:32 PM | comments (0) | trackback (0)
Just to follow up on Marcelo's post, here are the details and some commentary. Perhaps the quote of the day comes from one Jonathan Binder: "Life is going to be much more difficult for the government as a result of this,'' This certainly would seem to be a 'balanced' prediction....
economics | by Edward Hugh | 29 Jan, 2004 at 12:39 PM | comments (23) | trackback (0)
As per my last post, things are changing and fast. I would say we may possibly soon be able to talk of golbalisation phase one and globalisation phase two, speaking only of the post 1990 version of course. In the first phase there was plenty of room for argument about...
economics | by Edward Hugh | 29 Jan, 2004 at 12:27 PM | comments (23) | trackback (0)
When Cancun couldn't there was all sorts of speculation about how we might see a breakdown of global trade into a whole string of bilateral arrangements. These predictions seem to be being borne out: but not, it seems, as anyone foresaw. Lula, as Stephen notes, has been in India, and...
Argentine Debt: A Little Twist In My Sobriety
argentina | by Edward Hugh | 27 Jan, 2004 at 05:55 AM | comments (23) | trackback (0)
Maybe the game of the century is about to take onboard a new twist: according to Forbes a handful of Argentina's foreign bondholders are going to be allowed to start trying to seize assets next week in an attempt to recoup money lost when the country defaulted on its debt...
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Now It's Columbia's Turn
economics | by Edward Hugh | 14 Jan, 2004 at 04:55 AM | comments (22) | trackback (0)
I wouldn't profess to be any kind of expert on the Columbian economy, nor even to know a great deal about it, but I couldn't help noticing this news in Bloomberg today: Colombia sold $500 million of dollar- denominated bonds due in 2024, the fifth Latin American government this month...
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economics | by Edward Hugh | 09 Jan, 2004 at 02:15 PM | comments (45) | trackback (0)
Is Chile the latest beneficiary of economic growth in China? The Chilean peso is at the moment the best performing currency in the world this year, having risen 1.5 percent to 556.60 per dollar in Santiago this morning , rising for a fifth day out of six. The peso has...
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"President Mesa finally announced the questions for the gas referendum. And although there are five of them, they seem rather vague & almost destined to win a "yes" vote by their very wording (which, I'm sure, was the point). But. Despite that, the questions are unclear as to what they..."
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